| Traton SE (DE000TRAT0N7) | |||
27,72 EURStand (close): 01.07.25 |
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| Datum / Uhrzeit | Titel | Bewertung |
| 02.04.25 11:35:55 | Should You Investigate Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) At €31.80? |  |
| Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Traton SE (ETR:8TRA). The company's stock led the XTRA gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Traton’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. What's The Opportunity In Traton? Great news for investors – Traton is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 5.67x is currently well-below the industry average of 16.78x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. What’s more interesting is that, Traton’s share price is quite volatile, which gives us more chances to buy since the share price could sink lower (or rise higher) in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market. See our latest analysis for Traton Can we expect growth from Traton?XTRA:8TRA Earnings and Revenue Growth April 2nd 2025 Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Traton's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value. What This Means For You Are you a shareholder? Since 8TRA is currently below the industry PE ratio, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current price multiple. Story Continues Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 8TRA for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its buoyant future profit outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy 8TRA. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to make a well-informed assessment. If you want to dive deeper into Traton, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Traton is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant... If you are no longer interested in Traton, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 13.03.25 04:30:10 | Analysts Are Updating Their Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) Estimates After Its Annual Results | |
| Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 6.8% to €34.40 in the week after its latest full-year results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of €47b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Traton surprised by delivering a statutory profit of €5.61 per share, modestly greater than expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Traton after the latest results. Check out our latest analysis for Traton XTRA:8TRA Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2025 Taking into account the latest results, Traton's 14 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be €47.6b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to decrease 5.6% to €5.29 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €47.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of €5.54 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts. It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at €37.02, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Traton at €51.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €29.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Traton shareholders. These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Traton's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Traton's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 0.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 17% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.8% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Traton is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants. Story Continues The Bottom Line The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Traton's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates. Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Traton going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here. However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Traton (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 11.03.25 12:17:41 | Traton Full Year 2024 Earnings: EPS Beats Expectations | |
| Traton (ETR:8TRA) Full Year 2024 Results Key Financial Results Revenue: €47.5b (up 1.3% from FY 2023). Net income: €2.80b (up 14% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 5.9% (up from 5.2% in FY 2023). EPS: €5.61 (up from €4.90 in FY 2023).XTRA:8TRA Earnings and Revenue Growth March 11th 2025 All figures shown in the chart above are for the trailing 12 month (TTM) period Traton EPS Beats Expectations Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 2.9%. Looking ahead, revenue is forecast to grow 2.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.8% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Germany. Performance of the German Machinery industry. The company's share price is broadly unchanged from a week ago. Risk Analysis Before we wrap up, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Traton (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 10.03.25 08:59:00 | Traton Shares Fall After Company Guides for Weaker Demand, Profitability | |
| The stock fell after the company—which houses Scania, MAN, International, and Volkswagen Truck & Bus—said demand for trucks would decline. Continue Reading View Comments |
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| 25.02.25 10:53:45 | If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Traton (ETR:8TRA) Presents An Opportunity |  |
| The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up. So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Traton (ETR:8TRA). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it. See our latest analysis for Traton How Quickly Is Traton Increasing Earnings Per Share? The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Recognition must be given to the that Traton has grown EPS by 54% per year, over the last three years. Growth that fast may well be fleeting, but it should be more than enough to pique the interest of the wary stock pickers. It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. It's noted that Traton's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. EBIT margins for Traton remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 4.3% to €48b. That's progress. You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.XTRA:8TRA Earnings and Revenue History February 25th 2025 Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Traton's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting. Are Traton Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders? As a general rule, it's worth considering how much the CEO is paid, since unreasonably high rates could be considered against the interests of shareholders. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to Traton, with market caps over €7.6b, is around €4.7m. The CEO of Traton only received €2.2m in total compensation for the year ending December 2023. First impressions seem to indicate a compensation policy that is favourable to shareholders. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally. Story Continues Should You Add Traton To Your Watchlist? Traton's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. Such fast EPS growth prompts the question: has the business reached an inflection point? Meanwhile, the very reasonable CEO pay is a great reassurance, since it points to an absence of wasteful spending habits. It will definitely require further research to be sure, but it does seem that Traton has the hallmarks of a quality business; and that would make it well worth watching. Even so, be aware that Traton is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored... There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of German companies which have demonstrated growth backed by significant insider holdings. Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 30.01.25 04:57:45 | Why Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) Looks Like A Quality Company | |
| While some investors are already well versed in financial metrics (hat tip), this article is for those who would like to learn about Return On Equity (ROE) and why it is important. We'll use ROE to examine Traton SE (ETR:8TRA), by way of a worked example. Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments. Check out our latest analysis for Traton How Do You Calculate Return On Equity? Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula: Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Traton is: 15% = €2.6b ÷ €17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024). The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.15. Does Traton Have A Good ROE? One simple way to determine if a company has a good return on equity is to compare it to the average for its industry. Importantly, this is far from a perfect measure, because companies differ significantly within the same industry classification. Pleasingly, Traton has a superior ROE than the average (10%) in the Machinery industry.XTRA:8TRA Return on Equity January 30th 2025 That's clearly a positive. Bear in mind, a high ROE doesn't always mean superior financial performance. Especially when a firm uses high levels of debt to finance its debt which may boost its ROE but the high leverage puts the company at risk. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Traton by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here. How Does Debt Impact Return On Equity? Most companies need money -- from somewhere -- to grow their profits. The cash for investment can come from prior year profits (retained earnings), issuing new shares, or borrowing. In the first two cases, the ROE will capture this use of capital to grow. In the latter case, the debt used for growth will improve returns, but won't affect the total equity. That will make the ROE look better than if no debt was used. Combining Traton's Debt And Its 15% Return On Equity Traton clearly uses a high amount of debt to boost returns, as it has a debt to equity ratio of 1.46. While its ROE is pretty respectable, the amount of debt the company is carrying currently is not ideal. Debt does bring extra risk, so it's only really worthwhile when a company generates some decent returns from it. Story Continues Summary Return on equity is useful for comparing the quality of different businesses. In our books, the highest quality companies have high return on equity, despite low debt. All else being equal, a higher ROE is better. Having said that, while ROE is a useful indicator of business quality, you'll have to look at a whole range of factors to determine the right price to buy a stock. It is important to consider other factors, such as future profit growth -- and how much investment is required going forward. So you might want to take a peek at this data-rich interactive graph of forecasts for the company. Of course Traton may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have high ROE and low debt. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 01.12.24 06:17:05 | Traton (ETR:8TRA) shareholders have earned a 17% CAGR over the last three years | |
| One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) share price is up 44% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 15% (not including dividends). Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business. See our latest analysis for Traton While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement. Traton was able to grow its EPS at 54% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 13% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 5.58. The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).XTRA:8TRA Earnings Per Share Growth December 1st 2024 We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.. What About Dividends? As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Traton, it has a TSR of 62% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence! A Different Perspective We're pleased to report that Traton shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 49% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Traton (including 1 which can't be ignored) . Story Continues Of course Traton may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this freecollection of growth stocks. Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 03.11.24 08:31:45 | Traton Third Quarter 2024 Earnings: Beats Expectations | |
| Traton (ETR:8TRA) Third Quarter 2024 Results Key Financial Results Revenue: €11.9b (up 4.8% from 3Q 2023). Net income: €724.0m (up 3.1% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.1% (down from 6.2% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. EPS: €1.45 (up from €1.40 in 3Q 2023).XTRA:8TRA Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2024 All figures shown in the chart above are for the trailing 12 month (TTM) period Traton Revenues and Earnings Beat Expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.7%. Looking ahead, revenue is forecast to grow 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.3% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Germany. Performance of the German Machinery industry. The company's shares are down 6.4% from a week ago. Risk Analysis We should say that we've discovered 2 warning signs for Traton (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View Comments |
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| 28.10.24 07:18:00 | Traton Earnings Rise Despite Selling Fewer Vehicles | |
| The Volkswagen-owned truck maker backed its full-year outlook after reporting a rise in earnings despite selling fewer vehicles in the first nine months of the year. Continue reading View comments |
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| 09.10.24 06:32:44 | Should You Investigate Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) At €28.65? | |
| Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Traton SE (ETR:8TRA). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the XTRA over the last few months, increasing to €31.70 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €26.70. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Traton's current trading price of €28.65 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Traton’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. View our latest analysis for Traton What Is Traton Worth? Great news for investors – Traton is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. we find that Traton’s ratio of 5.62x is below its peer average of 16.1x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Machinery industry. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because Traton’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity. Can we expect growth from Traton? earnings-and-revenue-growth Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Traton's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 21%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value. What This Means For You Are you a shareholder? Since 8TRA is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, it may be a great time to increase your holdings in the stock. With a positive profit outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current price multiple. Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 8TRA for a while, now might be the time to make a leap. Its buoyant future profit outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy 8TRA. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed investment decision. If you want to dive deeper into Traton, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Traton. If you are no longer interested in Traton, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. View comments |
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