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SpaceX shares were at almost $173 in late trading on Friday, up 28% from the $135 IPO price and 15% from the $150 opening price. Things are on track for an orderly one-day post-IPO pop. A 10% to 30% pop for a large tech IPO is normal and shows that the deal was priced well and the market was ready to accept the terms offered.

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Morgan Stanley MS is keeping the door open for acquisitions as it looks to strengthen its asset and wealth management franchise. However, CEO Ted Pick made it clear that any deal must meet a high strategic bar and align closely with the company's long-term growth priorities.

Speaking at the bank's flagship U.S. Financials Conference, Pick said Morgan Stanley is "wide awake" to potential M&A opportunities as the regulatory backdrop becomes more constructive. Wealth management and selected areas of asset management appear to be the most likely targets, particularly where a deal can deepen the company's U.S. leadership, add tools for advisors or broaden exposure to high-growth areas such as private markets, alternatives, tax optimization and digital assets.

The comments come as Morgan Stanley's wealth platform gains scale. Pick said the company can now envision $10 trillion in wealth management assets alone, supported by its funnel of E*TRADE, Workplace and roughly 15,000 financial advisors. Workplace remains a key engine, with billions of dollars moving from stock-plan and self-directed channels into advisor-led relationships.

Morgan Stanley has already shown how acquisitions can reshape its business mix. Smith Barney, E*TRADE and Eaton Vance helped shift the company toward more durable fee-based revenues, while bolt-ons such as Solium and EquityZen added capabilities in workplace and private shares.

Still, Pick stressed discipline. M&A in financial services can be difficult, culturally sensitive and distracting. Organic growth remains the priority at the moment. But with excess capital and improving deal conditions, Morgan Stanley has room to act when the right target emerges.

Morgan Stanley's Peers: M&A as an Expansion Tool

Two close peers of Morgan Stanley are Goldman Sachs GS and JPMorgan JPM.

Goldman is refocusing on core capital markets and wealth management businesses. In sync with this, in April, the company acquired Innovator Capital Management, expanding Goldman's active ETF capabilities, while in January, it acquired Industry Ventures, broadening exposure to the innovation economy and strengthening the alternatives platform.

JPMorgan has the capital to pursue a major deal, with CEO Jamie Dimon indicating it could deploy up to $20 billion for the right opportunity. Acquisitions in wealth, payments, asset management or fintech could strengthen JPMorgan's franchise and support new growth, but execution, regulatory and valuation risks make discipline essential.

Story Continues

Morgan Stanley's Price Performance & Zacks Rank

Shares of Morgan Stanley have gained 19.2% over the past six months compared with the industry's rally of 1.3%.Zacks Investment Research

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At present, Morgan Stanley carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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(Bloomberg) -- Global banks are curbing hedge funds' leveraged bets on Asia's top chipmakers including SK Hynix Inc. and Samsung Electronics Co. after a blistering rally this year raised concerns of a potential pullback, according to people familiar with the matter.

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Brokers including Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have raised the financing cost for hedge funds to take bullish wagers on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics shares via swaps, said the people.

Banks have also tightened the size of new trades and which firms they will give them to, the people said, asking not to be identified while discussing private information. They have taken similar steps for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the people added.

Morgan Stanley is turning away clients seeking new swap trades in the two Korean stocks while some second-tier banks have also stopped accepting additional orders in the past two weeks, the people said. Some large global banks that are still willing to take new orders are assessing requests on a case-by-case basis, they added.

The moves came after a wild run in the two companies' shares this year, part of a global boom in tech stocks that is fueling fears of a bubble. The stock price of SK Hynix has more than tripled this year, while Samsung Electronics is up over 175%. These moves have helped Korea's benchmark Kospi Index jump around 100%, making it the best performing market in the world.

But the chipmakers' shares have recently come under pressure: Both SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics tumbled on Wednesday, as the tech rally faltered. At least some of the curbs started before the recent selloff, the people said.

Bank of America Corp., BNP Paribas and UBS Group AG are also lifting financing costs and restricting the size of swap trades in the two stocks, the people said.

Shares of SK Hynix and Samsung pared gains on the news. The Kospi index also gave back some of its earlier gains.

Swaps are a popular way for hedge funds to bet on assets without actually owning them and with the aid of leverage. In markets like South Korea, where few hedge funds have their own trading IDs with the exchange, swaps with brokers are the default way to bet on stocks.

Story Continues

Swap financing rates quoted by the banks on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics were increased to a range from 300 basis points to as much as 11% over the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR), the people added. With SOFR standing at 3.6%, the new rates translate into nearly 15% at the top end of the range.

That compares with financing rates between around 100 and 200 basis points above SOFR in early May, the people said. The new rates apply to new swap contracts or those being rolled over, they added.

While banks writing swaps often find other counterparties to take the other side of hedge fund clients' trades, few firms are willing to make bearish bets on the gravity-defying gains of SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. That means banks sometimes have to deploy their own balance sheets, putting a constraint on how much business they're willing to take.

Banks are concerned that a major correction would affect the value of their clients' holdings, leading to potential defaults on margin calls and ultimately threatening losses for banks, the people said.

While one benefit of swap trades has traditionally been the built-in leverage, some banks are now insisting clients pay up in full for those positions, said the people.

Mega-IPOs including SpaceX's $75 billion listing this week are also expected to tie up bank balance sheets, giving them more incentive to control the amount of capital they deploy to trades in SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, the people said.

Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and UBS declined to comment. Bank of America and BNP Paribas didn't immediately respond to requests for comment.

AI Frenzy

Hedge funds have shown huge interest in South Korea over the past year, after regulators lifted a short selling ban and pushed through corporate governance reforms. But much of the focus has been on the chipmakers, which are seen as key beneficiaries of the global AI race.

SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics between them now represent around 53% of Korea's benchmark Kospi Index. That is more than double their combined weight five years ago, before the frenzy around AI transformed global markets.

The insatiable demand for these stocks has in part been fueled by exchange-traded funds. Roundhill Investments's actively managed Memory ETF has seen assets surge to $16.7 billion after its inception in early April. SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics account for more than 40% of its holdings as of Thursday, according to information posted on the website of the New York-based company.

CSOP Asset Management Ltd.'s eight-month-old, Hong Kong-listed ETF seeking to replicate twice the daily performance of SK Hynix shares surpassed $10.9 billion in assets at the start of this month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Financing rates quoted by banks for swap trades involving the same stocks vary wildly from bank to bank, and from client to client. They can depend on what sort of other assets — and how much — a hedge fund holds at the time, the strength of its relationship with brokers and the banks' ability to facilitate more trades.

The Kospi tumbled nearly 9% intraday on Monday, triggering a 20-minute trading halt by the exchange as investors pulled back from AI trades. SK Hynix's shares are down this month, while the CSOP fund's assets have declined.

(Update adds market reaction in the eighth paragraph, Morgan Stanley no comment in paragraph 16.)

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[An arrow points up] Richard Drury

Jeremiah Buckley, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson, sees significant opportunities for investors to diversify beyond mega-cap stocks (MAGS [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MAGS]), (MAGX [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MAGX]), pointing to attractive valuations in sectors like financial services (XLF [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XLF]) and healthcare (XLV [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XLV]) that have lagged the AI-driven rally.

In an interview with CNBC, he noted that many stocks in sectors such as airlines (JETS [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/JETS]), homebuilders (XHB [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XHB]), and retail (XRT [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XRT]), (RTH [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/RTH]) have been “left behind” during the surge in semiconductor (XMH), (SOXX [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/SOXX]) (XSD [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XSD]) and AI infrastructure (AIPO [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AIPO]), (IAINF [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IAINF]) names, and are now "trading below historical multiples."

Buckley highlighted the earnings potential outside the largest technology companies, emphasizing that his portfolio offers broad-based growth.

"The median name in our portfolio has 14% earnings growth this year, and so it's much broader than the major mega caps or also the semiconductor names that are driving their earnings growth at the index," he said.

Within the financial sector (XLF [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/XLF]), (VFH [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/VFH]), (IYF [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IYF]), Buckley expressed particular interest in capital markets companies like Goldman Sachs (GS [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GS]) and Morgan Stanley (MS [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MS]).

He suggested the upcoming SpaceX IPO could serve as a catalyst for the market, calling it "an important milestone for the IPO market."

On inflation concerns, Buckley acknowledged that investors need to watch the relationship between CPI and wage growth carefully.

"We'd like to see wage growth, real wage growth, whereas at that CPI level, we're not seeing it," he explained, while noting that opportunities remain in sectors that can deliver strong earnings despite the economic backdrop.

Regarding rising interest rates, Buckley said current levels are not yet impactful enough to drive significant changes in corporate investment.

However, he warned that if the 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US10Y]) approaches 5%, "that might start to disturb people."

He added that stabilization and eventual reversal on the inflation side will be necessary for the market to maintain its footing.

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* Heading For The Exits [https://seekingalpha.com/article/4914248-heading-for-the-exits]
* Yes, This Is A Bubble: I'm Buying The Dip Anyway [https://seekingalpha.com/article/4914232-yes-this-is-a-bubble-im-buying-the-dip-anyway]
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(Bloomberg) -- SpaceX's initial public offering has attracted more than $70 billion in orders from retail investors, according to people familiar with the matter, as the potentially record-breaking debut enters the home stretch.

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Retail investors are expected to be allocated at least 20% of the available shares, the people said, asking not to be identified as the information isn't public. At a $75 billion IPO size, which would be the largest on record, that allocation would leave the bulk of demand from individual investors unfulfilled, according to Bloomberg calculations.

Leaving large numbers of Elon Musk's fans empty-handed in the IPO would likely amplify demand for the shares once they begin trading. Musk has attracted a strong retail following throughout his tenure leading Tesla Inc., with the cohort owning about 40% of the company's shares, according to BNP Paribas analyst James Picariello's estimates.

The rocket, satellite and artificial intelligence company has received orders from about 1,000 institutional investors, some of the people said.

The terms of the offering such as the $135 per share price and the 555.6 million shares are unlikely to change, some of the people said. SpaceX would raise about $75 billion in a deal valuing the company at around $1.8 trillion, based on the outstanding shares in its filings.

SpaceX is set to allocate less than 10% of the shares in its IPO to international orders, some of the people said. Japan's allocation was increased earlier this month to $2.5 billion from $2 billion.

Deliberations are ongoing and details of the offering including the amount allocated to retail investors could still change, the people said. A spokesperson for SpaceX didn't immediately respond to a request for comment.

Banks were expected to stop taking orders for SpaceX's IPO from institutional investors Wednesday, ahead of pricing later Thursday and trading Friday.

The IPO is expected to rank as the biggest ever, topping Saudi Aramco's $29.4 billion debut in 2019. It will set the stage for potential mega-listings from companies whose AI models compete with SpaceX's. OpenAI filed confidentially for an IPO on Monday, following Anthropic PBC which filed last week. Together with SpaceX, the three companies could add $3.6 trillion of market value to US exchanges, according to Bloomberg calculations.

Story Continues

Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are leading SpaceX's IPO, with 18 other banks participating. The company formally known as Space Exploration Technologies Corp. expects to make its debut on Nasdaq and Nasdaq Texas Friday under the symbol SPCX.

--With assistance from Ed Ludlow.

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Key Points

The SpaceX IPO reportedly was oversubscribed by two times. The IPO is allocating up to 30% of the raise to retail investors. This is a complex IPO, and SpaceX is a complex company, so there's a lot that retail investors should know.These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires ›

The SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) is nearly here, and there couldn't be more hype. The company has captivated the market as a pioneer of the space economy. It is expected to start trading under the ticker SPCX on the Nasdaq Composite on June 12.

The company's founder and CEO, Elon Musk, also has a cultlike following from the companies he has founded and his status as the richest person in the world, with the potential to become the world's first trillionaire.

Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »

SpaceX is expected to be the largest IPO ever. The company will likely raise at least $75 billion at a valuation of $1.78 trillion. It's a huge day for the market and retail investors, who will get to play an outsize role in the IPO. Here are 12 things they should know.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. SpaceX has three businesses

Investors should understand SpaceX's three businesses, which have similarities but are also very different.

The first business is the space launch unit, in which SpaceX builds rockets that can transport astronauts into space. The company's special sauce is its ability to reuse rockets, which enables it to launch at a much lower cost than ever before. As of March 31 of this year, it had completed 650 orbital launches.

SpaceX's second unit is connectivity: its Starlink low-Earth-orbit satellite internet business, which provides high-speed internet worldwide, even in areas with limited access to traditional internet infrastructure. The company has achieved this by launching over 10,000 satellites into orbit, aiming to eventually reach over 40,000. Starlink now has over 10 million subscribers.

The third unit is its artificial intelligence (AI) division, which it acquired when the company bought another company Musk owned, xAI, in a deal valued at $250 billion. xAI comprises the social media platform X, Grok intelligence, and several data centers. The unit also plans to develop a huge factory for its Terafab chip manufacturing in partnership with Tesla and Intel.

2. Starlink is the most profitable

Of the three units, Starlink is the most profitable thus far. The unit generated a $4.4 billion operating profit in 2025 and nearly $7.2 billion in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). In the first month of 2026, it generated a $1.2 billion operating profit and nearly $2.1 billion of adjusted EBITDA.

The financial strength makes sense given that Starlink has a subscription model that generates monthly recurring revenue. The company did see monthly average revenue per user (ARPU) decline from $86 in the first quarter of 2025 to $66 in the first quarter of 2026 as it rolled out lower-priced plans internationally.

3. AI has the most potential with a $26.5 trillion total addressable market

While Starlink has performed the best so far, the AI unit has performed the worst. In 2025, it generated an operating loss of roughly $6.4 billion and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.2 billion. The unit also had over $20 billion of capital expenditures in 2025 and the first quarter of 2026.

However, Musk has ambitions to put data centers into space, and if the Terafab facility comes to fruition, it would be one step closer to sovereign AI, in which the company has complete control over the AI stack from the intelligence to the chips to the data centers.

SpaceX, in its registration statement, said it believes the company has a total addressable market of $28.5 trillion, which is within shouting distance of the total U.S. gross domestic product. Of that number, $26.5 trillion is attributed to the AI unit, largely due to enterprise applications, which seem to broadly encompass AI solutions for consumers, businesses, and governments.

4. Goldman has reportedly said AI could multiply revenue by a factor of 100 by 2030

AI has so much potential that investment bankers at Goldman Sachs, one of the lead underwriters on the IPO, supposedly told prospective investors during SpaceX's road show that the AI unit is projected to grow revenue 100-fold by 2030.

Citing anonymous sources, the Financial Times reported that Goldman expects the AI unit to grow revenue from $3.2 billion in 2025 to $322 billion by 2030. Collectively, Goldman projects that SpaceX's revenue would grow from $18.7 billion in 2025 to $474 billion in 2030.

If that were true, investors would be buying SpaceX at slightly under four times 2030 revenue, which sounds a lot better than 96 times 2025 revenue.

5. SpaceX has begun to flex its muscles in its AI division

While Goldman's projection sounds outlandish, SpaceX has begun to show just how quickly it can ramp up revenue. In its prospectus, management unveiled a deal with Anthropic in which it will rent computing capacity in its data centers to Anthropic for $1.25 billion per month over the next three years.

More recently, SpaceX announced a deal with Alphabet's Google to lease computing capacity for $920 million per month. Combined with the Anthropic deal, that's already $2.2 billion per month, or over $26 billion per year.

Keep in mind that the deals aren't binding. Google can cancel the agreement with 90 days' notice starting in 2027, but this shows the potential power of the AI unit.

SpaceX has over 1 gigawatt of computing capacity, so it would likely need to build new data centers to keep scaling up. It's also unclear if its capacity will be this constrained forever, but Musk and the company have broad ambitions to launch data centers into space.

6. Musk will have unprecedented control

Prospective investors would be wise to make sure they like Musk at the helm of the company, because he'll be virtually impossible to remove as CEO. Largely through Class B super-voting shares, Musk controls over 85% of the company's combined voting power. After the IPO, he'll still control 82%.

7. The IPO is reportedly oversubscribed by twofold

Citing anonymous sources, Reuters recently reported that SpaceX's road show has been a success, with the IPO running two times oversubscribed, meaning there is $150 billion of investor demand.

In addition to its $75 billion raise, the underwriters have the option to purchase another $11.7 billion in shares. While it sounds great, being over two times subscribed on a popular IPO is not actually uncommon or that impressive.

However, considering it raised more than double that of Saudi Arabian Oil's IPO, the largest one until SpaceX, it certainly seems impressive, given the amount of capital being raised.

8. SpaceX is setting aside 30% of the IPO for retail investors

In another unprecedented move, SpaceX is allocating as much as 30% of the IPO to retail investors, who have previously been big fans of Musk and Tesla. Normally, companies will only allocate 5% to 10% to retail.

Investors will be able to request shares on five major brokerages, according to Barron's, including Robinhood, SoFi, Charles Schwab, Fidelity, and Morgan Stanley's E*TRADE.

The ability for so many retail investors to get shares is exciting, but it could also make the stock more volatile, so they should be prepared for that.

9. The stock will be in most major market indexes within weeks of trading

Due to SpaceX's size, most market indexes have implemented new fast-track entry rules and waived profitability requirements to allow the company to join quickly.

Jacob Friedman, an investment manager at Focused Wealth Management, said the stock could be in nearly every major U.S. equity index within about three weeks of trading, according to MarketWatch. That means that every index fund and exchange-traded fund tracking these indexes must buy the stock.

It also means these funds are going to absorb a considerable amount of the shares sold in the IPO early, which could support the stock and take it high in the early weeks of trading.

10. It will have to wait to join the S&P 500

The broader benchmark S&P 500 index considered adopting new rules to fast-track SpaceX's entry, but ultimately chose not to pass them, meaning it will not be able to join the index until one year after it begins trading. The company will also have to be profitable.

11. Experts expect SpaceX to suck up liquidity from the market

While there seems to be strong demand for the IPO, at least given its size, all the flows into SpaceX may come from outflows from other names. With so much potentially going into retail portfolios, it's possible this cohort sells other stocks to make room for the IPO. This could put pressure on the market.

"Selling flows in recent winners and levered products from retail to invest in SpaceX could be very large," Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity derivative strategy at BNP Paribas, said in a recent research note, according to Fortune.

Boutle projects that retail and passive investors could unload $50 billion of other stocks to raise capital for SpaceX.

12. Insiders and company employees have a staggered lockup period

Lockup provisions prevent company insiders with a large stake in the company -- as well as employees with shares -- from selling their shares immediately after a company goes public. The standard lockup policy is about 180 days.

However, SpaceX has a staggered lockup policy. On the day of trading after SpaceX reports its earnings results for the quarter ended June 30, those subject to the lockup period will be able to sell 20% of their shares. Another 10% can be sold if the stock is up at least 30% from the IPO price.

After that, insiders and employees will be able to sell an additional 7% of their shares on the 70th, 90th, 105th, 120th, and 135th days after the IPO. All shares will be eligible for sale 180 days after the IPO. The lockup does not apply to Musk, who must wait one year to sell any of his stock.

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Charles Schwab is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bram Berkowitz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Goldman Sachs Group, Intel, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Charles Schwab and recommends the following options: short June 2026 $97.50 calls on Charles Schwab. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Amazon’s announcement of its full entry into the less-than-truckload market sent shares of publicly traded carriers modestly lower on Wednesday. The group was off 5% on the day, which is a relatively small move considering the space has run over 60% year-to-date as market indicators continue to signal a recovery.

Analysts largely looked past the news, too.

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) has openly provided in-bound LTL services in the U.S. for over a year, mirroring an operation it has run in Europe for several years. The e-commerce company’s expanded U.S. service appears to include an asset-light model at roughly 30 terminals across its package-delivery network, which primarily moves parcels weighing less than five pounds. However, the offering in its current form is unlikely to challenge traditional incumbents, which specialize in transporting heavy pallets with stringent service requirements.

Richa Harnain, equity research analyst at Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB), told investors in a Wednesday note that Amazon’s LTL service is more akin to what brokers offer.

“We don’t think AMZN’s LTL footprint is enough to become a more formidable full-fledged nationwide asset-based operator,” Harnain said. “We also acknowledge the space has typically bounced back strongly following other AMZN-related knee jerk negative reactions.”

Amazon certainly has the pockets to compete and dominate in the space. But the market is relatively small (roughly $60 billion) and an asset-light model is typically not the path to industry-leading margins and returns. The company could be attempting a very-targeted approach in select markets to utilize latent capacity in the network. It could also be planning to compete at the less-service-sensitive end of the LTL market.

Jason Seidl, an analyst at TD Cowen, said Amazon’s use of an intermodal container pool likely “suggests the offering will primarily compete with the economy (3-4 day) sub-segment of the LTL market.” He said Amazon could take some market share “on the margins” from legacy carriers “without driving en-masse share exodus.”

(FreightWaves has reached out to Amazon for further details on the service.)

Amazon’s latest LTL foray

Before the market opened Wednesday, Amazon Supply Chain Services (ASCS) announced LTL service for “all businesses” to “any type of destination” in major U.S. markets. The offering is targeting “businesses of all sizes,” with shipment sizes likely ranging from one to six pallets (150 and 15,000 pounds).

Customers can arrange next-day live pickup and same-day pickup through drop-trailer service. Volume shippers are eligible for recurring daily pickups. Amazon offers EDI interfacing for ordering, real-time tracking and invoicing.

Story Continues

An Amazon Freight LTL coverage map shows decent density in the Eastern U.S., with a few select metros in the West. (Most national carrier networks have 200 to 300 service centers, serving nearly all U.S. zip codes.)Source: Amazon and OpenStreetMap contributors

Amazon Freight has been offering an inbound-only LTL model. Palletized freight is broken up at one of the company’s facilities and then delivered to final destinations (mostly consumer households) through the company’s package-delivery network. However, Amazon was rumored to be approaching shippers earlier this year to gauge interest in a more traditional LTL offering in select markets, where loaded pallets would remain intact through transfer.

The company touted positive feedback from customers in its Wednesday announcement as the reason for the full rollout, noting that many customers have been shipping freight by pallet across its network since 2019.

“The feedback from Amazon selling partners using our LTL service was clear: the technology, visibility, and reliability were exactly what they needed—and they wanted to use it more broadly,” said Jim Ruiz, director of Amazon Freight, in a news release explaining the company’s “cost-effective freight shipping.”

This new launch follows the company’s May update, in which it unified and expanded its third-party logistics solutions. Operating under the ASCS brand, the service provides end-to-end freight, distribution, fulfillment and parcel shipping.

Amazon Freight offers full truckload, LTL and intermodal service with a fleet of over 80,000 trailers and 24,000 intermodal containers. Amazon Freight is now part of ASCS.

LTL industry has high barriers to entry

The LTL market is mostly consolidated with less than a dozen true national carriers. The top-five companies historically account for a little more than half of the revenue.

The space has high barriers to entry. It takes a significant capital outlay to acquire and maintain a national network of cross-dock terminals and a large fleet with multiple truck and trailer types. It also requires heavy tech investments to create customer interfaces and to optimize linehaul and dock operations. Many carriers rely on veteran leadership to run a successful hub-and-spoke network.

For decades, legacy carriers have prioritized service by reinvesting in their networks to build a powerful flywheel effect. Targeted improvements in service lead to increased yields and enhanced margins, which ultimately produce the capital necessary for further service-centric network improvements.

A comprehensive annual shipper survey establishes carrier rankings across 28 distinct service metrics. The results are significant as they can impact how shippers allocate freight. An asset-light approach, using third-party carriers, typically means a carrier loses the ability to control service and ultimately pricing.

Morgan Stanley’s (NYSE: MS) Ravi Shanker was a dissenter on Wednesday, saying that even a third-party, asset-light LTL model could be a disruptor.

“While LTL likely represents only a small component of AMZN’s overall logistics footprint, we reiterate that AMZN has repeatedly demonstrated an ability to gain traction in transportation markets through a flexible and iterative operating model,” Shanker said. “As a result, we believe the Company may be able to capture meaningful market share even if they are unable to offer best-in-class service levels immediately. This could strike at the perceived ‘moat’ of real estate footprint and service that form the central pillar of the LTL thesis today.”

LTL competitive landscape is changing

While public carriers contend terminal counts—the true sign of industry capacity—haven’t really expanded over the past decade, the competitive landscape has changed.

FedEx Freight (NYSE: FDXF), the nation’s largest LTL carrier, spun off from parent FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) earlier this month. It now has over 500 dedicated LTL sales reps looking to fill its 365-terminal network with freight.

Walmart (NASDAQ: WMT) recently announced an upgrade to its LTL truck consolidation program, allowing shippers to combine inbound LTL shipments into full truckloads at one of its 42 regional distribution centers using a single national purchase order.

Knight-Swift Transportation (NYSE: KNX) entered the LTL arena in 2021 with the acquisition of AAA Cooper Transportation. The company has since expanded its footprint through the purchase of additional regional carriers and the organic addition of approximately 60 terminals, incorporating sites formerly operated by the now-defunct Yellow Corp.

TFI International (NYSE: TFII) has aspirations of establishing a mostly pure-play LTL entity by spinning off its TL businesses into a separate publicly traded company. However, those plans have been pushed back as it works to improve U.S. LTL margins and grow market cap before proceeding with a corporate split.

In early 2025, Amazon was rumored to be pursuing Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL), but management from that carrier said at the time it was not in talks to be acquired by Amazon.

Shares of AMZN closed Wednesday down 2.5% compared to the S&P 500, which was down 1.6%.

More FreightWaves articles by Todd Maiden:

LTL general rate increases no longer an annual event ArcBest raises Q2 outlook for LTL, asset-light units Knight-Swift founder, executive chairman Kevin Knight retires

The post Analysts say Amazon won’t shake LTL market—yet appeared first on FreightWaves.

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Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley stand to collect underwriting, trading, and advisory fees as a wave of AI-related IPOs—including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—heads to market.

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(Bloomberg) -- SpaceX’s initial public offering has attracted demand for more than four times the available shares, according to people familiar with the matter, ahead of the Elon Musk-led rocket, satellite and artificial intelligence firm stopping taking orders.

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The banks are expected to stop taking orders from institutional investors after the market closes in New York at 4 p.m. on Wednesday, people familiar with the matter have said.

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Robinhood revealed that it plans to expand in the white-hot IPO market as an underwriter, disrupting a field dominated by three financial giants. The IPO market has become a hotbed of activity, with several looming or confidential initial public offerings. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America dominate the highly lucrative IPO underwriting market, capturing a portion of proceeds as underwriting fees in exchange for acting as gatekeepers to new companies coming public.

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